RCF — AI Stock Dissection

AI Stock Dissection

Fetching the live quote…Computing price structure…Running the AI dissection…Writing the executive briefing…Scoring risks & catalysts…

Sensai

Reading the tape…Pulling live market data…Setting the scene…

AI Stock Dissection

RCFLive

RCF

Mr. Shivakumar Subramaniam · Mumbai, India

₹127.92

▲+1.28%

RCF, India's leading agrochemical company, is trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, amidst a 49% YoY revenue growth and a stable balance sheet.

Exchange

NSI

Currency

INR

Day range

₹126.57 – ₹129.90

52-week range

₹106.00 – ₹164.49

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Agricultural Inputs

AI investment rating

AI analysis

Buy

80% confidence

Given its relatively stable profitability margins and attractive valuation, RCF appears undervalued in the context of its peers and overall market conditions.

Position in 52-week range

Live

52w low37%52w high

22.2% below the 1-year high · trend up

Fundamentals

Live

Market cap70.57B

Hedge-fund memo

Executive AI briefing

AI analysis

Today

RCF shares rose 1.28% today amidst moderate volumes, with prices trading in the upper third of its 1-year range.

This week

The stock has shown modest gains, outperforming its 52-week moving average, but its 14-day AD (Average Directional Index) has started to decline.

This month

The shares have declined 11% over the past month, largely offsetting prior gains.

Bull thesis

Strong demand for agrochemical products in the Indian market
RCF's expanding product portfolio and entry into new market segments

Bear thesis

Intensifying competition from domestic and foreign players
Potential risks associated with fluctuations in raw material prices

News & sentiment

What the press is saying

24 headlines · live

Bullish

24 headlines · 22 outlets · 7d

Tone · daily average

07-2307-29

+80
GAIL and RCF sign MoU for 1.27 MMTPA gas-based urea plant in Maharashtra

Smart money

Who owns it

Live

Ownership split

Insiders / promoters75%

Institutions (FII/DII/MF)1.4%

Public & others23.6%

Top institutional holders

Not listed

Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.

Financial health

The numbers

Live

Profitability

Return on equity8.66%
Return on assets2.90%
Profit margin2.31%
Operating margin4.37%
Gross margin12.85%

Growth

Revenue (TTM)184.8B
Revenue growth49.60%
Earnings growth158.90%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity80.61%

07b

Financial statements

Multi-year trend

Live

Line item

2012201320152018

Revenue

₹64.3B

₹689.5B

₹77.1B

₹73.2B

Gross profit

₹0

Earnings intelligence

Beat history

Live

Beat estimates in 1 of 1 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).

2018-09-30Beat

0.32 vs 0.28

14.29% surprise

Competitive landscape

Versus peers

Live

Company	Market cap	P/E	ROE	Op. margin	Rev. growth
RCFRCF	70.57B	16.51	8.66%	4.37%	49.60%
NFLNational Fertilizers Limited	35.32B	16.63	7.61%	5.09%	-2.50%
GSFCGujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited	64.01B	9.52	5.51%

Technical intelligence

Price structure

Live

RCFdaily · candles

Hover the chart for that day's open / high / low / close, volume and RSI.

Volume

RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold

MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal

Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 500sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.

Risk intelligence

What could go wrong

AI analysis

Industry Competition

P: HighImpact: Medium

Mitigation: Diversified product portfolio

Regulatory Risks

P: MediumImpact: High

Mitigation: Active engagement with government agencies and regulatory stakeholders

Business intelligence

Moat · supply chain · M&A

AI analysis

Competitive moat

RCF's strong relationships with suppliers and distributors, coupled with significant investments in research and development, enable the company to maintain its market share and competitive advantage.

Supply chain

Upstream (inputs / suppliers)

Key suppliers of agrochemical raw materials, such as BASF and DuPont

↓

Downstream (customers / markets)

Key customers such as major agri-chemical distributors and farmers across India

M&A / strategic moves

No notable recent activity flagged.

Catalyst calendar

What to watch next

AI analysis

Next quarterMedium impact
Announcement of new product launches or partnership

Thesis builder

Bull / base / bear

AI analysis

Bull case

In the next 12-18 months, we expect RCF to expand its market share, achieve double-digit revenue growth, and improve profitability through operational efficiency.

Base case

With a 49% YoY revenue growth and increasing market share, we see RCF as a top pick in the agrochemical space.

Bear case

RCF's financial leverage, competition, and regulatory risks may hinder its ability to maintain revenue growth.

Time horizon

Medium-term (2- to 3-year)

Est. CAGR

approx 15-20%

Entry (qual.)

RCF is a compelling buy for investors seeking exposure to a relatively stable and high-growth sector in India.

Exit (qual.)

We recommend selling the stock in case of a significant decline in profitability or revenue growth due to industry disruptions or regulatory changes.

Knowledge graph

How it all connects

Entity graph

Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.

Portfolio impact

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Enter tickers + weights, then see how RCF fits.

Enter your portfolio and hit “Analyze fit” to see RCF's correlation, diversification benefit, and concentration impact.

Scenario simulator

Stress the thesis

Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:

Tailwind for tech & enablers.

Illustrative impact

Medium prob.

Revenue+6%

EPS+9%

Valuation+14%

Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.

Explain like…

Tailored explanations

Re-explain RCF for a different audience:

Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.

Important disclaimer

Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.

Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.

Position in 52-week range

Fundamentals

Executive AI briefing

What the press is saying

Who owns it

Ownership split

Top institutional holders

The numbers

Multi-year trend

Beat history

Versus peers

Price structure

What could go wrong

Moat · supply chain · M&A

What to watch next

Bull / base / bear

How it all connects

Entity graph

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Stress the thesis

Tailored explanations

Important disclaimer

Levels & position

Oscillators & averages