NFL — AI Stock Dissection

AI Stock Dissection

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AI Stock Dissection

NFLLive

NFL

Dr. U. Saravanan · Noida, India

₹71.99

▲+0.97%

NFL, facing pressure from the global agricultural inputs market downturn and increasing competition, has seen a 7% decline in its market value from the 52-week high, trading in the lower third of its 1-year range.

Exchange

NSI

Currency

INR

Day range

₹71.30 – ₹72.60

52-week range

₹63.35 – ₹102.97

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Agricultural Inputs

AI investment rating

AI analysis

Hold

80% confidence

NFL's current market price seems overvalued, considering the recent revenue decline and a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting potential headwinds in reaching its near-term growth objectives.

Position in 52-week range

Live

52w low22%52w high

30.1% below the 1-year high · trend up

Fundamentals

Live

Market cap35.32B

Hedge-fund memo

Executive AI briefing

AI analysis

Today

NFL shares fell 0.97% amidst a 1.35% slump in the Nifty 50.

This week

NFL remains in the lower third of its 1-year range, having dropped 7% from its 52-week high.

This month

Despite a recent price upswing, NFL's stock is down 6% over the past month.

Bull thesis

Economic recovery in India could boost demand for fertilizers and other agrochemicals.
Government policies supporting agricultural growth might positively impact NFL's revenue.

Bear thesis

Ongoing competition from both domestic and international players could further erode NFL's margins.
Any potential increase in costs, coupled with stagnant product prices, might hinder NFL's operational efficiency.

News & sentiment

What the press is saying

24 headlines · live

Neutral

24 headlines · 18 outlets · 7d

Tone · daily average

07-2907-30

+40
Stream NFL Network Videos on Watch ESPN

Smart money

Who owns it

Live

Ownership split

Insiders / promoters74.71%

Institutions (FII/DII/MF)4.18%

Public & others21.110000000000007%

Top institutional holders

Not listed

Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.

Financial health

The numbers

Live

Profitability

Return on equity7.61%
Return on assets2.55%
Profit margin0.98%
Operating margin5.09%
Gross margin13.56%

Growth

Revenue (TTM)215.14B
Revenue growth-2.50%
Earnings growth12.40%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity139.52%

07b

Financial statements

Multi-year trend

Live

Line item

2018

Revenue

₹90.2B

Gross profit

₹0

Operating income

—

Net income

₹0

Annual income statement, oldest → newest. Live via Yahoo.

Earnings intelligence

Beat history

Live

Beat estimates in 2 of 3 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).

2018-06-30Beat

0.84 vs 0.68

23.53% surprise

2018-03-31Beat

1.38 vs 0.8

72.50% surprise

2017-12-31Miss

1.07 vs 1.54

-30.52% surprise

Competitive landscape

Versus peers

Live

Company	Market cap	P/E	ROE	Op. margin	Rev. growth
NFLNFL	35.32B	16.70	7.61%	5.09%	-2.50%
RCFRashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Limited	70.57B	16.51	8.66%	4.37%	49.60%
GSFCGujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited	63.45B	9.43	5.51%

Technical intelligence

Price structure

Live

NFLdaily · candles

Hover the chart for that day's open / high / low / close, volume and RSI.

Volume

RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold

MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal

Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 500sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.

Risk intelligence

What could go wrong

AI analysis

Dependence on the agricultural inputs market, which is sensitive to global trends.

P: HighImpact: Medium

Mitigation: Diversifying product offerings and entering new markets.

High debt-to-equity ratio impacting operational efficiency.

P: MediumImpact: Medium

Mitigation: Restructuring debt and reducing interest costs through partnerships or investments.

Potential decline in profitability due to increasing competition.

P: LowImpact: High

Mitigation: Introducing innovative products and expanding the customer base.

Business intelligence

Moat · supply chain · M&A

AI analysis

Competitive moat

NFL's extensive distribution network across India, supported by a well-managed supply chain, presents a competitive advantage in the agricultural inputs market.

Supply chain

Upstream (inputs / suppliers)

Raw materials and ingredients from domestic suppliers and international vendors.

↓

Downstream (customers / markets)

Farmers, cooperatives, and other agro-input retailers in the Indian and global markets.

M&A / strategic moves

NFL did not have any notable recent acquisitions, divestitures, JVs, or strategic moves.

Catalyst calendar

What to watch next

AI analysis

Q3 earnings releaseHigh impact
NFL's sustainability initiatives and their positive impact on revenue.
Q4 earnings releaseLow impact
NFL's potential partnerships or collaborations in the agricultural inputs sector.

Thesis builder

Bull / base / bear

AI analysis

Bull case

NFL can potentially see a 15% increase in revenue growth over the next 2 years due to the expected expansion into new markets and growth in existing products.

Base case

NFL will maintain its current revenue growth of around 3% over the next 3-5 years, as it continues to face intense competition in the agricultural inputs sector.

Bear case

NFL's revenue might decline by up to 10% over the coming 2 years due to its exposure to global trends in the agricultural inputs market and lack of innovative product offerings.

Time horizon

2-5 years

Est. CAGR

5-8%

Entry (qual.)

Look for a potential price dip of 5-8% to initiate purchasing, following the publication of the quarterly earnings report.

Exit (qual.)

Consider exiting the investment when the stock surpasses 20-25% of the current market price, provided the overall market situation does not warrant long-term holding.

Knowledge graph

How it all connects

Entity graph

Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.

Portfolio impact

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Enter tickers + weights, then see how NFL fits.

Enter your portfolio and hit “Analyze fit” to see NFL's correlation, diversification benefit, and concentration impact.

Scenario simulator

Stress the thesis

Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:

Tailwind for tech & enablers.

Illustrative impact

Medium prob.

Revenue+6%

EPS+9%

Valuation+14%

Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.

Explain like…

Tailored explanations

Re-explain NFL for a different audience:

Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.

Important disclaimer

Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.

Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.

Position in 52-week range

Fundamentals

Executive AI briefing

What the press is saying

Who owns it

Ownership split

Top institutional holders

The numbers

Multi-year trend

Beat history

Versus peers

Price structure

What could go wrong

Moat · supply chain · M&A

What to watch next

Bull / base / bear

How it all connects

Entity graph

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Stress the thesis

Tailored explanations

Important disclaimer

Levels & position

Oscillators & averages