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AI Stock Dissection
AI Stock Dissection
ONGC
Mr. Arun Kumar Singh B.Sc., B.Sc. (Engg.) · New Delhi, India
₹241.59
▲+1.38%ONGC, India's largest oil and gas company, is trading near its 52-week average price amidst a cautious market, with declining valuation multiples and high institutional ownership.
Exchange
NSI
Currency
INR
Day range
₹239.06 – ₹244.39
52-week range
₹227.65 – ₹307.50
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Integrated
AI investment rating
AI analysis80% confidence
Currently trading around the lower third of its 52-week range and with a relatively cheap P/E ratio of 7.34, ONGC appears undervalued compared to the broader market.
21.4% below the 1-year high · trend up
Hedge-fund memo
Today
ONGC surged 1.38% on intraday highs as traders took advantage of lower prices.
This week
The stock has been trading near its 52-week average price with minimal weekly range expansion, signaling lack of conviction from investors.
This month
ONGC has outperformed the broader market this month, rising 7% YTD.
Bull thesis
Bear thesis
Hidden risks
News & sentiment
Bullish
13 headlines · 10 outlets · 7d
Tone · daily average
Smart money
Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.
Financial health
Profitability
Growth
Balance sheet
Financial statements
Earnings intelligence
Beat estimates in 2 of 4 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).
8.8695 vs 10.41095
-14.81% surprise
7.9335 vs 7.1
11.74% surprise
8.5801 vs 8.265
3.81% surprise
Competitive landscape
| Company | Market cap | P/E | ROE | Op. margin | Rev. growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONGC | 3.04T | 7.34 | 12.70% | 9.21% | 1.90% |
| IOC | 1.98T | 4.58 | 20.97% | 9.24% | 6.70% |
| BPCL | 1.35T | 7.88 | — |
Technical intelligence
Volume
RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold
MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal
Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 499sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.
Risk intelligence
Declining domestic oil prices
Mitigation: ONGC has invested in diversified asset base to reduce dependence on a single oil price
Increased competition in refining and marketing business
Mitigation: ONGC has been diversifying its refining and marketing business to strengthen its market position
Business intelligence
Competitive moat
ONGC's strong brand and diversified asset base across exploration, production, refining, and marketing provide a durable competitive advantage.
Supply chain
Upstream (inputs / suppliers)
↓
Downstream (customers / markets)
M&A / strategic moves
Catalyst calendar
Government support in the form of fiscal incentives
ONGC's expansion into renewable energy assets and strategic acquisitions
Thesis builder
Bull case
ONGC will continue to benefit from its integrated business model and potential improvements in government policies supporting the oil and gas sector.
Base case
ONGC will see moderate growth as the company continues to operate in a challenging oil price environment.
Bear case
ONGC will face increased competition and struggle to maintain profitability due to declining domestic oil prices and regulatory challenges.
Time horizon
Long-term
Est. CAGR
5-10%
Entry (qual.)
Wait for a strong bullish trend and improving valuation multiples to accumulate positions.
Exit (qual.)
Sell at the upper end of the 52-week range if the market environment turns unfavourable.
Overall conviction 80%
Knowledge graph
Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.
Portfolio impact
Enter tickers + weights, then see how ONGC fits.
Scenario simulator
Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:
Tailwind for tech & enablers.
Illustrative impact
Medium prob.Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.
Explain like…
Re-explain ONGC for a different audience:
Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.
Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.
Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.
Hidden opportunities
Watch next
Investors should wait for a clear upward momentum before considering positions in ONGC.
BW Businessworld·1h ago·ONGC backs MRPL’s Saudi crude imports
whalesbook.com·5h ago·offshore oil push lead story
Drilling Contractor·6h ago·ONGC extends drill contract
Construction World·8h ago·deepwater oil exploration started
InvestyWise·9h ago·assisting flood-hit schools
PSU Connect·10h ago·increased JV holdings & rights shares
Sakshi Education·11h ago·recruitment news repeat
Sakshi Education·11h ago·recruitment news repeat
EquityBulls·13h ago·ONGC rig deal extension
PSU Connect·13h ago·hydrocarbon potential assessment planned
Upstox·15h ago·irrelevant stock price
The Hindu·1d ago·free health camp held
InvestyWise·1d ago·board meeting announced
Real press coverage from the last 7 days, scored by AI for tone — click any headline for the source. This is news sentiment, not social: X / Reddit / Telegram scoring needs a paid social provider. Educational only.
Annual income statement, oldest → newest. Live via Yahoo.
7.801 vs 8.355
-6.63% surprise
| -4.05% |
| 34.40% |
| GAIL | 1.14T | 15.07 | 8.69% | 2.75% | -2.40% |
Peers via Yahoo's similarity graph, same-sector first; fundamentals live. Ask the AI copilot below for a qualitative head-to-head.
Support (day/52w low)
₹239.06
Resistance (day/52w high)
₹244.39
Volume
1,14,16,678
Trend
up
RSI (14)
40
MACD
bearish
MA cross
death
50-day MA
₹252.16
200-day MA
₹260.35
vs 200-DMA
-7.2%
RSI/MACD computed from 6 months of daily closes; moving averages from Yahoo. Options positioning still needs an options feed.