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AI Stock Dissection
AI Stock Dissection
IOC
Mr. Arvinder Singh Sahney · New Delhi, India
₹140.11
▼-0.83%IOC remains a low‑PE, high‑dividend player in a slowly consolidating Indian oil & gas sector, trading near the bottom of its 52‑week range amid modest revenue growth and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio.
Exchange
NSI
Currency
INR
Day range
₹139.55 – ₹141.77
52-week range
₹130.22 – ₹188.96
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
AI investment rating
AI analysis70% confidence
Current price is around the 52‑week low; if refining margins improve or the sector lifts, a modest upside to the mid‑range is plausible.
25.9% below the 1-year high · trend down
Hedge-fund memo
Today
-0.12%
This week
slight dip, still within 52‑week range
This month
trading at the bottom of its 1‑year high/lows, reflecting cautious sentiment
Bull thesis
Bear thesis
Hidden risks
News & sentiment
Neutral
24 headlines · 21 outlets · 7d
Tone · daily average
Smart money
Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.
Financial health
Profitability
Growth
Balance sheet
Financial statements
Earnings intelligence
Beat estimates in 3 of 4 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).
10.5 vs 7.44517
41.03% surprise
9.44 vs 7.88333
19.75% surprise
5.68 vs 3.99745
42.09% surprise
Competitive landscape
| Company | Market cap | P/E | ROE | Op. margin | Rev. growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOC | 1.98T | 4.58 | 20.97% | 9.24% | 6.70% |
| BPCL | 1.35T | 7.88 | — | -4.05% | 34.40% |
| ONGC | 3.04T | 7.34 | 12.70% |
Technical intelligence
Volume
RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold
MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal
Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 500sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.
Risk intelligence
Debt load remains high
Mitigation: Targeted asset sales and cost discipline to reduce leverage
Fuel price volatility
Mitigation: Hedging and diversified product mix
Regulatory changes
Mitigation: Engagement with regulators and compliance readiness
Business intelligence
Competitive moat
IOC benefits from a vast, integrated refinery network, national brand presence, and government backing, creating a high entry barrier for competitors.
Supply chain
Upstream (inputs / suppliers)
↓
Downstream (customers / markets)
M&A / strategic moves
Catalyst calendar
Margin report
Regulatory decision
Thesis builder
Bull case
Refining margin recovery + strategic debt reduction could lift the share to the upper 52‑week range
Base case
Current position at 52‑week low; expected modest upside within 12‑18 months
Bear case
Margin compression and debt burden may push price below 130 if fuel prices decline
Time horizon
12‑18 months
Est. CAGR
0–4% (margin improvement and revenue growth)
Entry (qual.)
Long when price reverts to 52‑week low and margin trend improves
Exit (qual.)
When price approaches 188.96 or margins stabilize lower than 5%
Overall conviction 70%
Knowledge graph
Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.
Portfolio impact
Enter tickers + weights, then see how IOC fits.
Scenario simulator
Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:
Tailwind for tech & enablers.
Illustrative impact
Medium prob.Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.
Explain like…
Re-explain IOC for a different audience:
Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.
Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.
Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.
Hidden opportunities
Watch next
Maintain a hold stance while monitoring margin trends and debt management efforts.
Українські Національні Новини (УНН)·1d ago·legal dispute over Russian reinstatement
BusinessLine·1d ago·unrelated entity (International Olympic Committee)
Business Standard·1d ago·strategic expansion into gas transport
Moneycontrol.com·1d ago·seeking majority LPG carrier stake
The Economic Times·1d ago·refiner scouts gas carrier stakes
OneFootball·1d ago·irrelevant organizational governance
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UNESCO·2d ago·unrelated UNESCO/Tsunami workshops
The Herald Insight·2d ago·unrelated policy philosophy
Lower Bucks Times·2d ago·unrelated legal jurisdiction ruling
Juno News·2d ago·unrelated gender policy debate
olympics.com·2d ago·irrelevant data string
National Post·2d ago·unrelated gender policy debate
Yahoo·3d ago·unrelated governance matter
Inside The Games·3d ago·unrelated Olympic legacy news
Yahoo Sports·3d ago·unrelated sports market expansion
Inside The Games·3d ago·unrelated sports event planning
thereport.live·3d ago·unrelated governance matter
Business Standard·3d ago·shares rise on lower crude
The Sports Examiner·3d ago·irrelevant wiki data
Real press coverage from the last 7 days, scored by AI for tone — click any headline for the source. This is news sentiment, not social: X / Reddit / Telegram scoring needs a paid social provider. Educational only.
Annual income statement, oldest → newest. Live via Yahoo.
4.95 vs 6.51667
-24.04% surprise
| 9.21% |
| 1.90% |
| HINDPETRO | 826.55B | 49.42 | — | -12.85% | 26.90% |
Peers via Yahoo's similarity graph, same-sector first; fundamentals live. Ask the AI copilot below for a qualitative head-to-head.
Support (day/52w low)
₹139.55
Resistance (day/52w high)
₹141.77
Volume
75,24,239
Trend
down
RSI (14)
55
MACD
bullish
MA cross
death
50-day MA
₹140.93
200-day MA
₹154.14
vs 200-DMA
-9.1%
RSI/MACD computed from 6 months of daily closes; moving averages from Yahoo. Options positioning still needs an options feed.