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AI Stock Dissection
AI Stock Dissection
SAREGAMA
Mr. Vikram Mehra · Mumbai, India
₹530.45
▲+1.18%Saregama is trading near its 52‑week high on a high P/E, reflecting optimistic growth expectations amid strong streaming traction, but the high valuation and modest institutional ownership suggest caution.
Exchange
NSI
Currency
INR
Day range
₹517.05 – ₹535.50
52-week range
₹307.05 – ₹535.50
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
AI investment rating
AI analysis65% confidence
The stock is slightly over its fair value when compared to a 52‑week range, implying a small upside potential if streaming adoption accelerates.
0.9% below the 1-year high · trend up
Hedge-fund memo
Today
Up 1.18%, near 52‑week high
This week
Up 2.5% over the past week
This month
Up 5% month‑to‑date
Bull thesis
Bear thesis
Hidden risks
News & sentiment
Neutral
13 headlines · 8 outlets · 7d
Tone · daily average
Smart money
Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.
Financial health
Profitability
Growth
Balance sheet
Financial statements
Earnings intelligence
Earnings history unavailable for this symbol.
Competitive landscape
| Company | Market cap | P/E | ROE | Op. margin | Rev. growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAREGAMA | 101.82B | 49.34 | 12.57% | 33.85% | 19.40% |
| INTELLECT | 100.31B | 29.59 | 11.41% | 14.72% | 16.70% |
| MASTEK | 59.02B | 14.21 | — |
Technical intelligence
Volume
RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold
MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal
Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 499sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.
Risk intelligence
High valuation may lead to price correction
Mitigation: Monitor earnings beats and streaming growth metrics
Regulatory changes in digital media
Mitigation: Diversify revenue streams across multiple platforms
Business intelligence
Competitive moat
A deep, high‑value catalog and exclusive licensing rights create a durable moat in the music content space.
Supply chain
Upstream (inputs / suppliers)
↓
Downstream (customers / markets)
M&A / strategic moves
Catalyst calendar
Revenue & EPS results
Licensing agreement
Thesis builder
Bull case
Streaming revenue will accelerate, driving EPS growth beyond current FY estimates.
Base case
Saregama is a leading catalog holder with steady royalty income but is priced at a premium.
Bear case
High debt‑to‑equity and a steep P/E may lead to price corrections if streaming growth stalls.
Time horizon
1‑3 years
Est. CAGR
15‑20%
Entry (qual.)
Wait for a pullback to the lower 52‑week range
Exit (qual.)
When price exceeds 55% of 52‑week high or EPS growth slows
Overall conviction 65%
Knowledge graph
Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.
Portfolio impact
Enter tickers + weights, then see how SAREGAMA fits.
Scenario simulator
Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:
Tailwind for tech & enablers.
Illustrative impact
Medium prob.Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.
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Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.
Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.
Hidden opportunities
Watch next
Hold with a focus on streaming growth catalysts.
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Sahi·1d ago·Earnings call scheduled routinely
scanx.trade·2d ago·Earnings call scheduled routinely
MarketsMojo·2d ago·Stock hits 52-week high
Whalesbook·2d ago·Included in market analysis
Whalesbook·2d ago·Included in market analysis
YouTube·3d ago·TV show promo content
The Economic Times·3d ago·Stock above VWAP bullish
scanx.trade·4d ago·13% EBITDA growth achieved
Whalesbook·5d ago·Profit up despite revenue dip
Whalesbook·5d ago·Music segment drives profit growth
scanx.trade·7d ago·Acquires stake in Pocket Aces
Real press coverage from the last 7 days, scored by AI for tone — click any headline for the source. This is news sentiment, not social: X / Reddit / Telegram scoring needs a paid social provider. Educational only.
Annual income statement, oldest → newest. Live via Yahoo.
| 13.50% |
| 7.70% |
| RKFORGE | 117.00B | 110.35 | — | 9.78% | 19.80% |
Peers via Yahoo's similarity graph, same-sector first; fundamentals live. Ask the AI copilot below for a qualitative head-to-head.
Support (day/52w low)
₹517.05
Resistance (day/52w high)
₹535.50
Volume
6,27,671
Trend
up
RSI (14)
69
MACD
bullish
MA cross
golden
50-day MA
₹466.60
200-day MA
₹386.54
vs 200-DMA
37.2%
RSI/MACD computed from 6 months of daily closes; moving averages from Yahoo. Options positioning still needs an options feed.