NHPC — AI Stock Dissection

AI Stock Dissection

Fetching the live quote…Computing price structure…Running the AI dissection…Writing the executive briefing…Scoring risks & catalysts…

Sensai

Reading the tape…Pulling live market data…Setting the scene…

AI Stock Dissection

NHPCLive

NHPC

Mr. Bhupendra Gupta · Faridabad, India

₹77.90

▼-0.49%

NHPC is a state-owned hydropower generator trading near its 52-week high with strong revenue growth but elevated valuation and debt levels.

Exchange

NSI

Currency

INR

Day range

₹77.69 – ₹79.11

52-week range

₹71.62 – ₹89.22

Sector

Utilities

Industry

Utilities - Renewable

AI investment rating

AI analysis

Buy

75% confidence

The stock appears fairly valued at current levels given its premium P/E ratio of 28.12, which is higher than the sector average, but justified by strong revenue growth and renewable energy positioning.

Position in 52-week range

Live

52w low36%52w high

12.7% below the 1-year high · trend down

Fundamentals

Live

Market cap

Hedge-fund memo

Executive AI briefing

AI analysis

Today

Stock marginally down despite positive market sentiment, trading near the lower end of its daily range.

This week

Minor pullback after reaching recent highs, indicating some profit-taking at elevated levels.

This month

Strong performance with the stock approaching its 52-week high, reflecting positive sentiment toward renewable energy stocks.

Bull thesis

Strong revenue growth of 19.20% YoY indicates improving business fundamentals
Government focus on renewable energy sector benefits NHPC's hydroelectric operations

Bear thesis

High P/E ratio of 28.12 suggests valuation may be stretched
Debt/Equity ratio of 113.11% indicates elevated financial leverage

News & sentiment

What the press is saying

24 headlines · live

Neutral

24 headlines · 17 outlets · 7d

Tone · daily average

07-2407-29

0
686NHPC36 Bond Coupon Profile — Rate & Payments

Smart money

Who owns it

Live

Ownership split

Insiders / promoters62.48%

Institutions (FII/DII/MF)21.04%

Public & others16.480000000000004%

Top institutional holders

Not listed

Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.

Financial health

The numbers

Live

Profitability

Return on equity9.02%
Return on assets1.83%
Profit margin32.42%
Operating margin19.67%
Gross margin92.93%

Growth

Revenue (TTM)116.15B
Revenue growth19.20%
Earnings growth70.60%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity113.11%

07b

Financial statements

Multi-year trend

Live

Line item

2023202420252026

Revenue

₹106.1B

₹96.3B

₹103.8B

₹116.2B

Gross profit

₹0

Earnings intelligence

Beat history

Live

Beat estimates in 1 of 4 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).

2026-03-31Beat

1.45 vs 0.46667

210.71% surprise

2025-12-31Miss

0.22 vs 0.55

-60.00% surprise

2025-09-30Miss

1.02 vs 1.2

-15.00% surprise

Competitive landscape

Versus peers

Live

Company	Market cap	P/E	ROE	Op. margin	Rev. growth
NHPCNHPC	782.51B	28.12	9.02%	19.67%	19.20%
SJVNSJVN Limited	271.23B	42.34	4.51%	27.75%	196.70%
POWERGRIDPower Grid Corporation of India Limited	2.63T	14.07	16.49%

Technical intelligence

Price structure

Live

NHPCdaily · candles

Hover the chart for that day's open / high / low / close, volume and RSI.

Volume

RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold

MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal

Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 500sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.

Risk intelligence

What could go wrong

AI analysis

High debt levels limiting financial flexibility

P: MediumImpact: Medium

Mitigation: Improved cash flow generation and strategic debt management

Regulatory changes affecting power purchase agreements

P: LowImpact: High

Mitigation: Diversification across state electricity boards and markets

Business intelligence

Moat · supply chain · M&A

AI analysis

Competitive moat

NHPC benefits from government backing, established infrastructure in the hydropower sector, and access to prime hydroelectric locations in the Himalayan region.

Supply chain

Upstream (inputs / suppliers)

Construction equipment suppliersTechnology providers for hydroelectric turbinesRaw materials for dam construction

↓

Downstream (customers / markets)

State electricity boardsPower trading exchangesIndustrial consumers

M&A / strategic moves

NHPC has been expanding its portfolio through strategic partnerships and joint ventures for developing renewable energy projects, though no major recent acquisitions have been reported.

Catalyst calendar

What to watch next

AI analysis

Short-term (3-6 months)Medium impact
Completion of ongoing hydroelectric projects
Medium-term (6-18 months)High impact
Government renewable energy capacity expansion announcements

Thesis builder

Bull / base / bear

AI analysis

Bull case

Renewable energy transition accelerates, driving higher power prices and demand for NHPC's clean energy.

Base case

Stable growth in power generation capacity with moderate margin expansion as operational efficiencies improve.

Bear case

Delays in project implementation and higher financing costs pressure returns and growth trajectory.

Time horizon

12-24 months

Est. CAGR

12-15%

Entry (qual.)

Buy on dips below 75 INR or better valuation metrics

Exit (qual.)

Consider profit booking above 85 INR or if growth momentum stalls

Overall conviction 75%

Knowledge graph

How it all connects

Entity graph

Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.

Portfolio impact

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Enter tickers + weights, then see how NHPC fits.

Enter your portfolio and hit “Analyze fit” to see NHPC's correlation, diversification benefit, and concentration impact.

Scenario simulator

Stress the thesis

Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:

Tailwind for tech & enablers.

Illustrative impact

Medium prob.

Revenue+6%

EPS+9%

Valuation+14%

Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.

Explain like…

Tailored explanations

Re-explain NHPC for a different audience:

Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.

Important disclaimer

Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.

Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.

Position in 52-week range

Fundamentals

Executive AI briefing

What the press is saying

Who owns it

Ownership split

Top institutional holders

The numbers

Multi-year trend

Beat history

Versus peers

Price structure

What could go wrong

Moat · supply chain · M&A

What to watch next

Bull / base / bear

How it all connects

Entity graph

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Stress the thesis

Tailored explanations

Important disclaimer

Levels & position

Oscillators & averages