ITC — AI Stock Dissection

AI Stock Dissection

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AI Stock Dissection

ITCLive

ITC

Mr. Sanjiv Puri · Kolkata, India · 22,493 employees

₹286.25

▲+0.56%

ITC is stabilizing after a decline amidst the ongoing economic slowdown, driven by its diversified business portfolio and defensive nature.

Exchange

NSI

Currency

INR

Day range

₹284.15 – ₹289.05

52-week range

₹275.00 – ₹427.00

Sector

Consumer Defensive

Industry

Tobacco

AI investment rating

AI analysis

Hold

60% confidence

Current price is trading near the lower third of its 1-year range, reflecting a relatively undervalued status compared to its historical valuation.

Position in 52-week range

Live

52w low7%52w high

33.0% below the 1-year high · trend up

Fundamentals

Live

Market cap3.59T

Hedge-fund memo

Executive AI briefing

AI analysis

Today

ITC gained 0.56% in today's session and has managed to hold within the upper third of its 1-year range.

This week

The stock has shown moderate price stability over the past week.

This month

ITC has witnessed a 4.35% decline in trading value since the start of the month, influenced by the overall market conditions.

Bull thesis

The ongoing COVID-19 recovery, expected to bolster demand for consumer staples and drive revenue growth

Bear thesis

Potential regulatory pressures and ongoing economic downturn impacting demand for its tobacco products and other divisions

Hidden risks

The increasing competition in the FMCG sector, potential negative impact of economic downturn on consumer spending

News & sentiment

What the press is saying

24 headlines · live

Neutral

24 headlines · 19 outlets · 7d

Tone · daily average

07-2807-29

-10
DEPB Licences Not Eligible For ITC Under TNVAT Act Even If Classified As Goods: Madras High Court

Smart money

Who owns it

Live

Ownership split

Insiders / promoters27.18%

Institutions (FII/DII/MF)51.61%

Public & others21.209999999999994%

Top institutional holders

Not listed

Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.

Financial health

The numbers

Live

Profitability

Return on equity29.34%
Return on assets17.59%
Profit margin26.23%
Operating margin36.41%
Gross margin57.85%

Growth

Revenue (TTM)788.68B
Revenue growth-5.00%
Earnings growth-72.70%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity3.29%

07b

Financial statements

Multi-year trend

Live

Line item

2023202420252026

Revenue

₹765.2B

₹708.8B

₹753.2B

₹719.8B

Gross profit

₹0

Earnings intelligence

Beat history

Live

Beat estimates in 3 of 4 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).

2026-03-31Beat

4.2847 vs 4.1

4.50% surprise

2025-12-31Beat

4.2263 vs 4.196

0.72% surprise

2025-09-30Miss

4.077 vs 4.15

-1.76% surprise

Competitive landscape

Versus peers

Live

Company	Market cap	P/E	ROE	Op. margin	Rev. growth
ITCITC	3.59T	17.34	29.34%	36.41%	-5.00%
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Limited	11.53T	16.70	13.84%	33.29%	16.60%
INFYInfosys Limited	4.68T	14.78	32.00%

Technical intelligence

Price structure

Live

ITCdaily · candles

Hover the chart for that day's open / high / low / close, volume and RSI.

Volume

RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold

MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal

Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 500sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.

Risk intelligence

What could go wrong

AI analysis

Regulatory risks impacting the tobacco business, leading to potential revenue decline.

P: HighImpact: High

Mitigation: Closely monitor regulatory updates and assess the company's preparedness to adapt to changing regulations

Economic downturn impacting consumer spending on discretionary goods.

P: MediumImpact: Medium

Mitigation: Monitor consumer sentiment and adjust the investment thesis accordingly

Business intelligence

Moat · supply chain · M&A

AI analysis

Competitive moat

ITC's diversified business portfolio and long-standing presence in the Indian market contribute to its sustainable competitive advantage, enabling the company to maintain its market share.

Supply chain

Upstream (inputs / suppliers)

Pulp, paper, and tobacco leaf

↓

Downstream (customers / markets)

Major retail chains, online platforms, and the broader Indian consumer market

M&A / strategic moves

Notable recent acquisitions include the addition of new product lines and the expansion of its FMCG business

Catalyst calendar

What to watch next

AI analysis

Upcoming earnings result and AGM updates to provide clarity on the company's performance.Medium impact
Positive earnings surprise, clarity on business strategy and growth prospects.

Thesis builder

Bull / base / bear

AI analysis

Bull case

As the market stabilizes and consumer demand recovers, ITC's diversified business portfolio and defensive characteristics will drive growth.

Base case

A stable business environment coupled with a diversified portfolio will enable steady revenue growth.

Bear case

The ongoing economic downturn, coupled with increasing regulatory pressures, will impact demand and drive revenue decline.

Time horizon

The long-term performance will be influenced by the company's ability to adapt to changing economic conditions and consumer preferences.

Est. CAGR

7-10%

Entry (qual.)

Look for a sustained breakout from the 200-day SMA and a potential return to the upper third of its 1-year range to signal an entry point.

Exit (qual.)

Identify key risk signals such as a sustained decline below the 200-day SMA and/or a sharp increase in debt levels to signal potential exit opportunity

Knowledge graph

How it all connects

Entity graph

Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.

Portfolio impact

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Enter tickers + weights, then see how ITC fits.

Enter your portfolio and hit “Analyze fit” to see ITC's correlation, diversification benefit, and concentration impact.

Scenario simulator

Stress the thesis

Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:

Tailwind for tech & enablers.

Illustrative impact

Medium prob.

Revenue+6%

EPS+9%

Valuation+14%

Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.

Explain like…

Tailored explanations

Re-explain ITC for a different audience:

Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.

Important disclaimer

Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.

Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.

Position in 52-week range

Fundamentals

Executive AI briefing

What the press is saying

Who owns it

Ownership split

Top institutional holders

The numbers

Multi-year trend

Beat history

Versus peers

Price structure

What could go wrong

Moat · supply chain · M&A

What to watch next

Bull / base / bear

How it all connects

Entity graph

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Stress the thesis

Tailored explanations

Important disclaimer

Levels & position

Oscillators & averages