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Sensai
AI Stock Dissection
AI Stock Dissection
GREENLAM
Mr. Saurabh Mittal B.Com · New Delhi, India · 3,480 employees
₹254.15
▲+0.41%GREENLAM is riding a strong revenue growth tail while grappling with high valuation multiples and a debt-heavy balance sheet.
Exchange
NSI
Currency
INR
Day range
₹252.00 – ₹258.85
52-week range
₹197.59 – ₹278.63
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
AI investment rating
AI analysis68% confidence
At a P/E over 115x, the stock appears overvalued relative to its modest ROE and thin profit margins, suggesting it is nearer the top of its 52‑week range than its fair value.
8.8% below the 1-year high · trend down
Hedge-fund memo
Today
Shares up 0.41% to INR 254.15, trading near the lower third of the 52‑week range.
This week
Price has been range‑bound, with modest upside as investors await quarterly earnings.
This month
The stock has risen ~5% on the back of continued revenue growth but remains pressured by valuation concerns.
Bull thesis
Bear thesis
Hidden risks
News & sentiment
Neutral
6 headlines · 5 outlets · 7d
Tone · daily average
Smart money
Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.
Financial health
Profitability
Growth
Balance sheet
Financial statements
Earnings intelligence
Beat estimates in 3 of 4 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).
1.59 vs 0.3
430.00% surprise
0.7047 vs 0.65
8.42% surprise
1.25 vs 0.55
127.27% surprise
Competitive landscape
| Company | Market cap | P/E | ROE | Op. margin | Rev. growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREENLAM | 64.85B | 115.52 | 4.86% | 9.60% | 25.80% |
| GREENPLY | 35.70B | 36.18 | — | 8.40% | 20.70% |
| SOMANYCERA | 19.93B | 24.60 | 8.40% |
Technical intelligence
Volume
RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold
MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal
Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 497sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.
Risk intelligence
Raw material cost inflation (pigments, solvents)
Mitigation: Pass-through pricing and longer‑term supply contracts.
Liquidity strain from high debt servicing
Mitigation: Refinance on better terms or raise equity.
Business intelligence
Competitive moat
Strong brand equity in the Indian paint market and an extensive distribution network provide a modest, but defensible, competitive edge.
Supply chain
Upstream (inputs / suppliers)
↓
Downstream (customers / markets)
M&A / strategic moves
Catalyst calendar
Earnings beat on margin improvement
Completion of debt restructuring or strategic divestiture
Thesis builder
Bull case
Sustained double‑digit revenue growth and a shift toward higher‑margin specialty products could improve earnings and justify a premium valuation.
Base case
Revenue is expanding, but margins remain thin and leverage high; the stock trades at a premium that is difficult to sustain without earnings acceleration.
Bear case
Continued margin pressure and debt servicing could force earnings declines, leading to a correction toward the lower end of its range.
Time horizon
12‑18 months
Est. CAGR
15%–20% annual revenue growth over the next 3‑5 years
Entry (qual.)
Buy on dips near INR 200–210, where valuation compression offers upside.
Exit (qual.)
Consider selling if price breaches INR 280 with no earnings uplift, or if debt ratio climbs above 1.2.
Knowledge graph
Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.
Portfolio impact
Enter tickers + weights, then see how GREENLAM fits.
Scenario simulator
Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:
Tailwind for tech & enablers.
Illustrative impact
Medium prob.Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.
Explain like…
Re-explain GREENLAM for a different audience:
Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.
Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.
Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.
Hidden opportunities
Watch next
Maintain current exposure; look for a pull‑back toward the 52‑week low before adding.
scanx.trade·9h ago·continuity in board leadership
TradingView·4d ago·provides data, no outlook
adgully.com·4d ago·industry ads, not company
MediaBrief·5d ago·general marketing, no impact
financialexpress.com·5d ago·no relevance to Greenlam
financialexpress.com·6d ago·unrelated stock price comment
Real press coverage from the last 7 days, scored by AI for tone — click any headline for the source. This is news sentiment, not social: X / Reddit / Telegram scoring needs a paid social provider. Educational only.
Annual income statement, oldest → newest. Live via Yahoo.
-0.62 vs 0.5
-224.00% surprise
| 8.26% |
| 6.40% |
| CENTURYPLY | 173.92B | 66.40 | 10.71% | 8.57% | 24.50% |
Peers via Yahoo's similarity graph, same-sector first; fundamentals live. Ask the AI copilot below for a qualitative head-to-head.
Support (day/52w low)
₹252.00
Resistance (day/52w high)
₹258.85
Volume
48,331
Trend
down
RSI (14)
53
MACD
bearish
MA cross
golden
50-day MA
₹248.06
200-day MA
₹242.25
vs 200-DMA
4.9%
RSI/MACD computed from 6 months of daily closes; moving averages from Yahoo. Options positioning still needs an options feed.
Overall conviction 68%