CESC — AI Stock Dissection

AI Stock Dissection

Fetching the live quote…Computing price structure…Running the AI dissection…Writing the executive briefing…Scoring risks & catalysts…

Sensai

Reading the tape…Pulling live market data…Setting the scene…

AI Stock Dissection

CESCLive

CESC

Mr. Vineet Sikka · Kolkata, India

₹164.12

▲+0.15%

CESC is a stable utility stock trading below its 52-week high with strong institutional ownership and attractive dividend yield, facing regulatory risks in the power sector.

Exchange

NSI

Currency

INR

Day range

₹162.50 – ₹164.95

52-week range

₹138.12 – ₹204.50

Sector

Utilities

Industry

Utilities - Regulated Electric

AI investment rating

AI analysis

Buy

75% confidence

The stock appears moderately undervalued relative to its 52-week range, trading below the high but with reasonable P/E for a regulated utility.

Position in 52-week range

Live

52w low39%52w high

19.7% below the 1-year high · trend up

Fundamentals

Live

Market cap217.55B

Hedge-fund memo

Executive AI briefing

AI analysis

Today

Flat trading with slight positive movement within daily range

This week

No significant weekly movement indicated

This month

Trading below 1-month highs but above lows

Bull thesis

Strong institutional ownership at 76.5%
Attractive dividend yield of 3.66%

Bear thesis

High debt-to-equity ratio of 164.31%
Regulatory risks in power sector

Hidden risks

News & sentiment

What the press is saying

24 headlines · live

Neutral

24 headlines · 22 outlets · 7d

Tone · daily average

07-2507-29

+40
CESC Limited board to consider secured NCD issuance on Aug 3

Smart money

Who owns it

Live

Ownership split

Insiders / promoters6.32%

Institutions (FII/DII/MF)76.5%

Public & others17.180000000000007%

Top institutional holders

Not listed

Named holders aren't published for this listing (common for Indian stocks). The split at left is live.

Financial health

The numbers

Live

Profitability

Return on equity12.55%
Return on assets3.42%
Profit margin8.30%
Operating margin12.31%
Gross margin38.29%

Growth

Revenue (TTM)185.7B
Revenue growth5.60%
Earnings growth17.80%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity164.31%

07b

Financial statements

Multi-year trend

Live

Line item

2023202420252026

Revenue

₹142.5B

₹86.1B

₹95.8B

₹185.7B

Gross profit

₹0

Earnings intelligence

Beat history

Live

Beat estimates in 3 of 4 recent quarters (EPS actual vs. consensus).

2026-03-31Beat

3.31 vs 2.83333

16.82% surprise

2025-12-31Miss

2.15 vs 2.3

-6.52% surprise

2025-09-30Beat

3.21 vs 3.2

0.31% surprise

Competitive landscape

Versus peers

Live

Company	Market cap	P/E	ROE	Op. margin	Rev. growth
CESCCESC	217.55B	14.10	12.55%	12.31%	5.60%
IGLIndraprastha Gas Limited	214.07B	13.80	13.93%	6.92%	5.40%
CONCORContainer Corporation of India Limited	400.50B	32.06	—

Technical intelligence

Price structure

Live

CESCdaily · candles

Hover the chart for that day's open / high / low / close, volume and RSI.

Volume

RSI (14) · 70 overbought / 30 oversold

MACD (12,26,9) · MACD vs signal

Candlesticks, volume, RSI and MACD from 500sessions of real Yahoo daily data. Moving averages use full history, so they're accurate at the left edge. Support / resistance are the 52-week low / high. Educational — technical signals are not buy or sell calls.

Risk intelligence

What could go wrong

AI analysis

Regulatory changes affecting tariff structures

P: MediumImpact: High

Mitigation: Diversify revenue sources through renewable energy expansion

High debt levels limiting financial flexibility

P: MediumImpact: Medium

Mitigation: Gradual debt reduction through improved cash flows

Business intelligence

Moat · supply chain · M&A

AI analysis

Competitive moat

Regulated monopoly in Kolkata with established distribution network and customer base

Supply chain

Upstream (inputs / suppliers)

Coal suppliersRenewable energy equipment providersNatural gas suppliers

↓

Downstream (customers / markets)

Residential consumersCommercial and industrial customersGovernment contracts

M&A / strategic moves

No significant recent acquisitions, divestitures, or JVs reported

Catalyst calendar

What to watch next

AI analysis

Next 6 monthsMedium impact
Renewable energy capacity expansion
Next quarterHigh impact
Regulatory tariff decisions

Thesis builder

Bull / base / bear

AI analysis

Bull case

Stable cash flows from regulated operations with consistent dividend payouts

Base case

Moderate growth in revenue with regulatory support for tariffs

Bear case

High debt levels and regulatory uncertainties could pressure returns

Time horizon

12-18 months

Est. CAGR

5-8%

Entry (qual.)

Accumulate on dips below 160 INR

Exit (qual.)

Consider above 190 INR or if regulatory outlook deteriorates significantly

Overall conviction 75%

Knowledge graph

How it all connects

Entity graph

Executives & sector are live; peers are clickable → their dissection. Institutional holders shown where the exchange publishes them.

Portfolio impact

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Enter tickers + weights, then see how CESC fits.

Enter your portfolio and hit “Analyze fit” to see CESC's correlation, diversification benefit, and concentration impact.

Scenario simulator

Stress the thesis

Simulate a macro shock and see the illustrative impact:

Tailwind for tech & enablers.

Illustrative impact

Medium prob.

Revenue+6%

EPS+9%

Valuation+14%

Directional illustration only — not modelled on this company's actuals. A real simulator needs company financials.

Explain like…

Tailored explanations

Re-explain CESC for a different audience:

Pick a persona to get a tailored explanation.

Important disclaimer

Sensai publishes educational market commentary, not investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered investment advisers or research analysts, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Live prices, index levels, and other market data are pulled from third-party feeds, may be delayed, and can be inaccurate or unavailable. Do not rely on them for trading decisions.

Investing in equities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own research and consider consulting a SEBI-registered adviser before making any investment decision.

Position in 52-week range

Fundamentals

Executive AI briefing

What the press is saying

Who owns it

Ownership split

Top institutional holders

The numbers

Multi-year trend

Beat history

Versus peers

Price structure

What could go wrong

Moat · supply chain · M&A

What to watch next

Bull / base / bear

How it all connects

Entity graph

Does it fit your book?

Your holdings

Stress the thesis

Tailored explanations

Important disclaimer

Levels & position

Oscillators & averages